2343534
0x0f9e5bdb564303cec67ed87f73ff4beb23c073f2
- Realised P&L
- $198.29
- Volume
- $26.7k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $147.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $147.63 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$203.55at 0.410Hawks vs. Pistons
- +$20.30at 0.860Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$1.40at 0.984Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?
- +$1.10at 0.988Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
- +$0.88at 0.994Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 13:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.998 | $147.70 |
| 07-02 11:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? | BUY | 0.99 | $147.00 |
| 06-15 11:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? | BUY | 0.994 | $146.00 |
| 06-08 11:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 8-14? | BUY | 0.999 | $146.00 |
| 06-02 11:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 05-25 13:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $145.71 |
| 05-19 10:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24? | BUY | 0.999 | $145.85 |
| 05-08 11:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10? | BUY | 0.999 | $144.85 |
| 04-12 10:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | BUY | 0.984 | $15.94 |
| 04-12 10:44 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.972 | $97.20 |
| 04-03 10:34 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 03-25 01:38 | Hawks vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.41 | $141.45 |
| 03-25 01:23 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 03-22 01:52 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 03-21 01:57 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.10 |