bigBob
0x0f51d65d00338645dacf1ac76006faf2efb6da36
- Realised P&L
- $682.75
- Volume
- $103.0k
- Markets traded
- 376
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded376
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August? · No | 0.881 | 0.925 | $912.43 | +$43.49 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August? · No | 0.810 | 0.835 | $334.00 | +$10.00 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $135 in August? · No | 0.787 | 0.580 | $232.00 | −$83.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? · No | 0.665 | 0.685 | $137.00 | +$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? · Down | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1? · Down | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? · Down | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2? · Up | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.865 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.30 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on May 17? · Down | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? · Yes | 0.775 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$155.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on May 15? · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13? · Up | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.50 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on May 6? · Up | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$87.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$321.53at 0.939Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?
- +$299.28at 0.887Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
- +$151.00at 0.760MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$146.00at 0.697Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
- +$119.22at 0.588Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 00:19 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $135 in August? | BUY | 0.85 | $255.00 |
| 07-31 07:18 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$135 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 07-31 07:17 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$135 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 07-31 07:17 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$135 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 07-31 07:16 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$135 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 07-31 07:15 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$135 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 07-31 06:55 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$135 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 07-27 23:56 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | SELL | 0.93 | $765.49 |
| 07-03 23:44 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | SELL | 0.42 | $16.80 |
| 07-03 22:39 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | SELL | 0.991 | $29.73 |
| 06-29 03:27 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $297.00 |
| 06-29 01:31 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30? | BUY | 0.9890639 | $1.4k |
| 06-29 01:31 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? | BUY | 0.9891208791 | $45.00 |
| 06-29 01:30 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $769.73 |
| 06-26 05:01 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30? | BUY | 0.945 | $283.50 |