KawaiKGIRL
0x0f214043fe6d32f8692a302270e2ce460a523d6e
- Realised P&L
- $-16.9k
- Volume
- $4.05M
- Markets traded
- 967
- Open portfolio
- $167.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded967
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Friday roundtable? · Yes | 0.318 | 0.280 | $151.89 | −$20.45 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Friday roundtable? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $15.71 | −$4.29 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Team USA reception? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.123Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-02?
- +$3.5kat 0.164Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-09?
- +$3.0kat 0.047Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.9kat 0.373Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$2.7kat 0.399Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 23:16 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.0699999969 | $20.00 |
| 08-06 23:15 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Friday roundtable? | SELL | 0.32 | $21.45 |
| 08-06 20:22 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.3247884212 | $94.64 |
| 08-06 20:16 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.3111984283 | $99.00 |
| 08-06 20:14 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Team USA reception? | BUY | 0.0593289663 | $33.00 |
| 08-05 17:45 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.0857710864 | $97.36 |
| 08-05 17:41 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.0738120867 | $36.00 |
| 08-05 17:40 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.0762879067 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 20:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1669832302 | $14.83 |
| 08-01 20:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.0636179573 | $69.13 |
| 08-01 20:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.0313759521 | $5.77 |
| 08-01 20:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0182602832 | $47.74 |
| 08-01 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0469904821 | $35.00 |
| 08-01 20:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2176985772 | $90.00 |
| 08-01 20:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2115169425 | $90.00 |