0x0da1577928e0c8e7dd01861a040c452e33738138
- Realised P&L
- $-1.49
- Volume
- $43.13
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $11.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.999 | $2.82 | +$0.73 |
| Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.485 | $2.11 | +$0.02 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.440 | 0.395 | $1.88 | −$0.21 |
| Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.445 | $1.82 | −$0.27 |
| Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.645 | $1.66 | −$0.14 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.190 | $1.10 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.17at 0.640Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?
- +$0.00at 0.499Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
- +$-1.83at 0.600Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:05 | Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5099999073 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 19:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 07:30 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4799999541 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 23:29 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.3599999242 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 14:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7399999929 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 02:33 | Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.69999965 | $1.80 |
| 07-31 18:26 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.04 |
| 07-31 10:22 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.09 |
| 07-30 16:43 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.83 |
| 07-30 01:25 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4989999604 | $2.08 |
| 07-29 15:23 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.08 |