PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x0da1577928e0c8e7dd01861a040c452e33738138

Realised P&L
$-1.49
Volume
$43.13
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$11.39

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7400.999$2.82+$0.73
Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4800.485$2.11+$0.02
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4400.395$1.88$0.21
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.5100.445$1.82$0.27
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7000.645$1.66$0.14
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.3600.190$1.10$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:05Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5099999073$2.09
08-02 19:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.44$2.09
08-02 07:30Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4799999541$2.09
08-01 23:29Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.3599999242$2.09
08-01 14:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7399999929$2.09
08-01 02:33Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.69999965$1.80
07-31 18:26New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-31 10:22Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.09
07-30 16:43Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6$1.83
07-30 01:25Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999604$2.08
07-29 15:23Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?BUY0.64$2.08
Trader 0x0da1…8138 · PolyBot