PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

CW1975

0x0d7e9ddc0a0e6a7cd703ce8d1c0fd3b517a7cb13

Realised P&L
$12.8k
Volume
$2.18M
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0710.065$2.0k$168.18
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0120.013$469.15+$20.91
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0480.045$273.00$15.95
Trump out as President by August 31? · Yes0.0100.009$193.38$10.12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0130.013$127.50$3.72
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$85.00$5.20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0160.011$23.00$9.24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5320.575$11.50+$0.85
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.5990.595$2.98$0.02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4180.405$1.94$0.06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.009$0.95$0.06
Trump out as President by July 31? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$13.02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$341.55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$17.48
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$33.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:30Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?SELL0.0111356274$3.76
08-02 17:39Trump out as President by August 31?SELL0.01$0.47
08-02 17:34Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.013$9.20
08-02 17:33Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.012$1.49
08-02 16:56Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.014$0.27
08-02 16:54Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.013$16.16
08-02 16:45Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.015$2.13
08-02 16:45Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0150784$2.26
08-02 16:44Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.015$3.00
08-02 16:36Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.01$11.89
08-02 16:34Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.01$20.00
08-02 16:30Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?SELL0.011$0.34
08-02 16:28Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?SELL0.031$0.19
08-02 16:26Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.018$7.20
08-02 16:25Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.018$3.60