0x5AF043520347276bD5eaC8Fcfb8179ADEBA1419f-1777400018433
0x0d19bd22c9b025956ff4837216539858fce6ee91
- Realised P&L
- $41.11
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 247
- Open portfolio
- $0.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded247
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.65at 0.076Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?
- +$27.51at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?
- +$8.88at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 28?
- +$6.69at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 4?
- +$5.57at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.50 |
| 08-07 11:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-07 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 08-06 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 40°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.38 |
| 08-06 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 41°C or higher on August 7? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 08-06 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 39°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1523809524 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.9555555556 | $34.40 |
| 08-05 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0526315789 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 06:53 | Will Ipswich Town win on 2026-08-04? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.98 |