PolyBot

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Traders

0x5AF043520347276bD5eaC8Fcfb8179ADEBA1419f-1777400018433

0x0d19bd22c9b025956ff4837216539858fce6ee91

Realised P&L
$41.11
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
247
Open portfolio
$0.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded247
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C on August 8? · Yes0.0200.015$0.38$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 8? · Yes0.3100.100$0.32$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 8? · Yes0.0600.025$0.13$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 8? · Yes0.1000.006$0.07$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 8? · Yes0.0190.001$0.06$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 8? · Yes0.0040.001$0.03$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C or higher on July 30? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 31? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C on August 7? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on August 7? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 3? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 30? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on July 30? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 6? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$1.15
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 29? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 12:13Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C on August 8?BUY0.02$0.50
08-07 11:12Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 8?BUY0.02$1.00
08-07 11:11Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 8?BUY0.1$1.00
08-07 09:06Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 8?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-07 08:47Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 7?BUY0.01$0.10
08-07 05:18Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 7?SELL0.05$0.25
08-06 15:11Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 40°C on August 7?BUY0.019$0.38
08-06 15:09Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 41°C or higher on August 7?BUY0.002$0.10
08-06 14:55Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 39°C on August 7?BUY0.1523809524$1.00
08-06 10:08Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C on August 7?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
08-05 14:27Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 6?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
08-05 08:12Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?SELL0.9555555556$34.40
08-05 07:05Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.0526315789$1.00
08-04 14:11Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.1$1.20
08-04 06:53Will Ipswich Town win on 2026-08-04?SELL0.49$0.98