CrazyShaman
0x0d06c339d7a7b496399a315dee0584b5051e88d8
- Realised P&L
- $-115.82
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 345
- Open portfolio
- $45.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded345
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.63at 0.276Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
- +$27.89at 0.365Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
- +$20.40at 0.495Dota 2: strongboys vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
- +$20.30at 0.330Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)
- +$17.78at 0.403Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:43 | Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 01:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 01:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 01:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 15:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 04:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July? | SELL | 0.0022368988 | $0.37 |
| 07-29 04:06 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.055 | $10.31 |
| 07-20 03:15 | Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8722111471 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 13:16 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 15:22 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.2574257166 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 09:34 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 09:31 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 09:21 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 07-17 09:21 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 08:38 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |