Lauren6348
0x0c9f22ce46a338e6424d2776941b6248e82989eb
- Realised P&L
- $-16.74
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $19.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 10? · Yes | 0.996 | 0.999 | $19.05 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.23at 0.991Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?
- +$0.16at 0.994Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?
- +$0.15at 0.993Will Solana dip to $70 April 13-19?
- +$0.14at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 21?
- +$0.14at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 22:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.00 |
| 08-06 04:11 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9965969402 | $20.30 |
| 04-27 02:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | BUY | 0.9939999996 | $10.81 |
| 04-26 16:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.12 |
| 04-25 21:30 | Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m? | BUY | 0.9969999929 | $12.73 |
| 04-25 20:31 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $17.89 |
| 04-25 04:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $10.80 |
| 04-24 00:33 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999833 | $21.11 |
| 04-23 10:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.40 |
| 04-22 19:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.93 |
| 04-22 16:22 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9959999466 | $16.99 |
| 04-22 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on April 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $22.79 |
| 04-21 01:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 21? | BUY | 0.994 | $23.94 |
| 04-20 11:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.99 |
| 04-18 21:55 | Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.97 |