0x0c217b04b6c6871274291fbdf98e30696865f2ea
- Realised P&L
- $-1.02
- Volume
- $127.74
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $19.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.440 | $7.86 | +$2.86 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.955 | $6.04 | +$1.04 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? · Yes | 0.299 | 0.311 | $5.21 | +$0.21 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.105 | $0.42 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.56at 0.430Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 27 2026?
- +$1.59at 0.750Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?
- +$1.49at 0.770Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?
- +$1.32at 0.770Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
- +$1.03at 0.657Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 15:43 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? | BUY | 0.2989999407 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 06:48 | Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 10:44 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.77 |
| 08-06 01:18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 17:13 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.7699998691 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 08:49 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 00:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.76 |
| 08-01 16:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7699999791 | $4.42 |
| 08-01 07:09 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.36 |
| 07-31 23:07 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.32 |
| 07-30 08:32 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-29 22:39 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-29 02:22 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.91 |
| 07-28 06:20 | Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.619999895 | $1.89 |
| 07-28 02:03 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $3.44 |