PolyBot

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Cstrf

0x0bfb16665ecad1d5a6168e714929c891cba5fb84

Realised P&L
$-1.16
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$3.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? · No0.9000.915$2.03+$0.03
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Atlanta United FC next? · No0.9700.994$1.05+$0.02
Will Onyx Storm (Rebecca Yarros) win Readers' Favorite Romantasy in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards? · No0.9100.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 06:58Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?SELL0.998$100.00
07-10 06:57Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.993$49.95
07-10 06:57Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.997$49.90
07-09 09:09Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9939999999$50.00
07-09 09:08Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$50.00
07-09 09:07Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?BUY0.999$100.00
07-09 09:07Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?SELL0.998$99.80
07-09 09:07Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?BUY0.999$100.00
04-11 04:59Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.992$189.42
04-11 04:58Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.993$170.83
04-11 04:58Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.984$107.04
04-08 09:12Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.994$171.00
04-08 09:11Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.995$190.00
04-08 09:10Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9927430706$108.00
02-05 06:54Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Atlanta United FC next?BUY0.97$1.00