Cstrf
0x0bfb16665ecad1d5a6168e714929c891cba5fb84
- Realised P&L
- $-1.16
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $3.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? · No | 0.900 | 0.915 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Atlanta United FC next? · No | 0.970 | 0.994 | $1.05 | +$0.02 |
| Will Onyx Storm (Rebecca Yarros) win Readers' Favorite Romantasy in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.77at 0.530Solana above $225 on December 20?
- +$1.15at 0.740Israel strikes Iran before September?
- +$0.84at 0.610Will Udinese win on 2025-10-05?
- +$0.80at 0.790Memorial Tournament: Scottie Scheffler vs. Xander Schauffele
- +$0.56at 0.790Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 06:58 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 06:57 | Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $49.95 |
| 07-10 06:57 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.997 | $49.90 |
| 07-09 09:09 | Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 09:08 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 09:07 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 09:07 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-09 09:07 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 04-11 04:59 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.992 | $189.42 |
| 04-11 04:58 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $170.83 |
| 04-11 04:58 | Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $107.04 |
| 04-08 09:12 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $171.00 |
| 04-08 09:11 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.995 | $190.00 |
| 04-08 09:10 | Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.9927430706 | $108.00 |
| 02-05 06:54 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Atlanta United FC next? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |