vanshwillgetrich
0x0bcbc2a272e4b4dcb855bfd8eb17dcfa48a21a3c
- Realised P&L
- $-64.27
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $119.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.26at 0.773Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 13?
- +$15.00at 0.490Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?
- +$6.97at 0.770Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?
- +$6.25at 0.890Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?
- +$3.96at 0.926Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.9253488372 | $9.95 |
| 08-05 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.99 |
| 08-05 16:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.63 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 15:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.95 |
| 08-05 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.64327654 | $9.82 |
| 08-05 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.833 | $8.33 |
| 08-05 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 08-05 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.66 | $5.91 |
| 08-05 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 08-05 14:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 08-05 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 11:27 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.42 |
| 08-05 11:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.79 | $2.39 |
| 08-05 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.20 |