0x0BAdBae0E8F6B301840ef928d1d0507f67e14eE8-1757091524380
0x0badbae0e8f6b301840ef928d1d0507f67e14ee8
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $75.9k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $148.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.79at 0.636Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
- +$78.82at 0.386Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$62.50at 0.052Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 2?
- +$50.37at 0.140Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
- +$37.96at 0.199Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 09:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.06 |
| 08-03 09:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.16 | $17.60 |
| 07-26 22:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on July 27? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 22:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on July 27? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.11 |
| 07-26 19:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 27? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.66 |
| 07-26 19:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.032 | $2.09 |
| 07-21 09:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 21? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.26 |
| 07-21 08:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 21? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.89 |
| 07-20 20:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 21? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.49 |
| 07-19 21:06 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? | SELL | 0.73 | $5.80 |
| 07-19 20:53 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.71 |
| 07-19 20:34 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? | SELL | 0.3220462185 | $7.66 |
| 07-19 19:52 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? | SELL | 0.21 | $6.67 |
| 07-19 19:51 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.17 |
| 07-19 19:50 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.23 |