wudichaozhoulan
0x0b7b04ab04f4f31c5ff67e60e4ffea5fbc3e8673
- Realised P&L
- $29.93
- Volume
- $25.0k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $1.0k | +$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.975 | 0.971 | $448.19 | −$1.81 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.995 | 0.997 | $40.06 | +$0.06 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No | 0.912 | 0.965 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.61at 0.990Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?
- +$4.21at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$3.36at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
- +$2.99at 0.971Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
- +$2.55at 0.997Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:15 | Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9749227847 | $450.00 |
| 08-01 19:13 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9960120053 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 19:13 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $400.00 |
| 08-01 19:12 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $400.00 |
| 07-14 14:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9949502493 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 14:38 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July? | SELL | 0.959 | $98.36 |
| 07-08 19:42 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July? | BUY | 0.988 | $140.00 |
| 07-02 20:20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.2k |
| 07-02 20:20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July? | BUY | 0.9749999954 | $100.00 |
| 07-02 20:17 | StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9409999556 | $20.00 |
| 06-20 22:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9959999988 | $565.00 |
| 06-20 22:13 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $545.49 |
| 06-05 15:57 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $1.2k |
| 05-27 15:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY | 0.9979999998 | $1.1k |
| 05-27 15:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.1k |