Hand6789hand
0x0ae49502214d903677022a2627f8cb27e7dba659
- Realised P&L
- $104.9k
- Volume
- $3.79M
- Markets traded
- 3,509
- Open portfolio
- $522.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,509
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.339Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9AM ET
- +$3.8kat 0.232Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9AM ET
- +$3.6kat 0.412France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$3.5kat 0.286Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 9AM ET
- +$3.5kat 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 9AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.21 | $84.00 |
| 08-05 03:55 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.4489010989 | $81.70 |
| 08-05 03:54 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 08-04 13:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.0633443333 | $38.01 |
| 08-04 13:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.0709523333 | $85.14 |
| 08-04 06:22 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.25 | $300.00 |
| 08-04 06:21 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.25 | $150.00 |
| 08-03 12:41 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.14 | $98.00 |
| 08-03 04:18 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.4865 | $194.60 |
| 08-03 04:17 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 08-03 04:16 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.17 | $68.00 |
| 07-31 16:11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $54.00 |
| 07-31 16:05 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $56.00 |
| 07-31 16:03 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $58.00 |
| 07-31 13:54 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $88.00 |