PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

BrevanHoward

0x0a26054fe174697bf6be759c4b600fdb830d1851

Realised P&L
$-80.1k
Volume
$10.92M
Markets traded
1,671
Open portfolio
$27.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,671
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? · No0.6570.925$4.7k+$1.4k
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.6410.696$4.2k+$325.92
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.5600.645$3.1k+$411.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? · No0.6700.675$3.0k+$22.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7180.795$3.0k+$290.92
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? · No0.5620.515$1.4k$124.69
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.3680.320$1.4k$206.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? · No0.7030.958$1.4k+$362.32
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone · Matteo Berrettini0.6300.635$1.2k+$9.53
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges · Nuno Borges0.7300.745$1.0k+$20.55
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.6500.605$907.50$67.44
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? · No0.5510.640$819.00+$114.00
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-02? · No0.6310.655$770.12+$28.35
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-02? · No0.5700.890$681.36+$244.98
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? · No0.5700.440$284.88$84.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:31Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.6308860579$741.77
08-02 21:23Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-02?SELL0.33$37.76
08-02 20:47Spread: Lazio Rome (-1.5)SELL0.999$1.5k
08-02 20:09Ascoli Calcio 1898 vs. Lazio Rome: O/U 1.5BUY0.7149707525$500.00
08-02 19:36Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-02?SELL0.999$820.92
08-02 19:21Ascoli Calcio 1898 vs. Lazio Rome: O/U 2.5BUY0.6899999997$232.03
08-02 19:18Spread: Lazio Rome (-1.5)BUY0.7109197642$747.82
08-02 18:48Will SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK end in a draw?BUY0.54$648.00
08-02 18:44Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: Silkeborg IF O/U 1.5SELL0.9982516864$1.1k
08-02 18:44Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 4.5SELL0.999$739.61
08-02 18:22Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.6084635313$500.00
08-02 17:37Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 4.5BUY0.5699999996$422.00
08-02 16:53Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: Silkeborg IF O/U 1.5BUY0.5399999999$590.00
08-02 16:50Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno BorgesBUY0.73$1000.00
08-02 16:18Spread: FC København (-1.5)BUY0.5928345406$900.00