0x0A069FBD23ed70c5bA13A1a9504e9652Feb5174b-1779993632655
0x0a069fbd23ed70c5ba13a1a9504e9652feb5174b
- Realised P&L
- $-86.12
- Volume
- $29.2k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $24.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.83at 0.260Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$50.59at 0.270Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$48.44at 0.160Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$36.76at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$36.74at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 16:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on August 7? | BUY | 0.0303715965 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.066162559 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0675708184 | $6.00 |
| 08-06 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0373323776 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0493060178 | $4.00 |
| 08-05 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0276243094 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:43 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0212497958 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:41 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0455580866 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:19 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0667938814 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 04:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 04:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 09:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.31 | $9.61 |
| 08-02 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1825396699 | $10.00 |