PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x0939162605fed8aa3c09582edd42887fd695f67b

Realised P&L
$3.14
Volume
$102.72
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$20.55

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.6700.978$2.83+$0.89
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · Yes0.2600.325$2.50+$0.50
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? · No0.7240.792$2.19+$0.19
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3400.340$2.00+$0.00
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? · No0.4910.489$1.99$0.01
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4400.375$1.70$0.30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2300.195$1.70$0.30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.7890.645$1.64$0.36
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2400.185$1.54$0.46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7701.000$1.40+$0.32
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.6100.625$1.08+$0.03
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.3410.001$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:44Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
08-04 00:42Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?BUY0.4909999661$2.00
08-04 00:39Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-03 16:38Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
08-03 08:37US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.6099999419$1.05
08-03 00:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.7889999933$2.00
08-03 00:11US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
08-02 16:08Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?BUY0.7239999464$2.00
08-02 06:54Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6699999758$1.94
08-01 22:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7699998931$1.08
08-01 14:39Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3409999248$2.00
08-01 03:01Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 18:56Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 10:53Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
07-30 18:15Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95