Basede
0x08fe8496913c2e62be003c7c8daaf177ce7da381
- Realised P&L
- $2.25
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $29.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $30? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.900 | $29.70 | −$2.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.10at 0.500Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-25?
- +$1.12at 0.940Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?
- +$1.01at 0.990Yoon arrested by Friday?
- +$0.97at 0.969Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10?
- +$0.85at 0.968Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 09:34 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $30? | BUY | 0.99 | $32.67 |
| 07-10 14:31 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.97 |
| 06-11 16:13 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | BUY | 0.998 | $112.79 |
| 05-20 09:06 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $75.85 |
| 04-14 14:50 | Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.994 | $58.60 |
| 03-14 08:10 | Claude 4.7 released by March 15? | BUY | 0.991 | $41.72 |
| 03-13 03:07 | Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.997 | $27.72 |
| 02-22 07:04 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February? | BUY | 0.9989999945 | $154.00 |
| 02-05 06:33 | Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $61.88 |
| 01-24 06:56 | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 12-17 07:14 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BUY | 0.9949999794 | $35.91 |
| 11-16 15:40 | Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale? | BUY | 0.9909999987 | $35.59 |
| 10-26 07:31 | Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31? | BUY | 0.9962653917 | $28.48 |
| 09-24 07:59 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | BUY | 0.9679999876 | $25.63 |
| 08-26 07:42 | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BUY | 0.975473763 | $24.03 |