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Traders

Elmadbfg

0x08cea69edf44f3c68ee3e4d6d92053e80defc7a5

Realised P&L
$-4.28
Volume
$10.7k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$17.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9? · Yes0.9991.000$17.01+$0.01
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4200.000$0.00$9.24
Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Alex Barrena · Alex Barrena0.4700.000$0.00$28.67
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 · BNK FEARX0.6500.000$0.00$16.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 11:37Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.995$684.31
08-07 11:37Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.001$0.68
08-07 11:36Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.996$685.00
08-07 11:36Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.998$672.32
08-07 11:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9?BUY0.999$6.00
08-07 11:34Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.999$248.00
08-07 11:34Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.998$170.16
08-07 11:34Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.999$425.00
08-07 11:33Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.998$510.48
08-07 11:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9?BUY0.999$11.00
07-16 07:16Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Alex BarrenaBUY0.47$28.67
07-16 07:14Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.998$21.98
07-16 07:13Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.999$22.00
07-07 09:39Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5BUY0.42$9.24
06-24 08:45Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.41$21.20