0x08CD6CEaA6DcEF19c4dB8F8C5c6ed7E28D54F35F-1775682189575
0x08cd6ceaa6dcef19c4db8f8c5c6ed7e28d54f35f
- Realised P&L
- $49.92
- Volume
- $137.4k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $307.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.630 | 0.645 | $307.14 | +$7.14 |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.526 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · England | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Spread: France (-3.5) · France | 0.276 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockx · Alexander Blockx | 0.353 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$498.92 |
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.175 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) · Japan | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.00 |
| Spread: Japan (-3.5) · Japan | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
| Set 4 Winner: Hurkacz vs Struff · Hurkacz | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.041Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
- +$1.3kat 0.394Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.150Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$868.11at 0.750Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$632.50at 0.643Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 16:08 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.6299999995 | $300.00 |
| 08-07 22:12 | Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5199999992 | $190.00 |
| 08-07 22:12 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5499999994 | $190.00 |
| 08-02 22:23 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6199999991 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 14:03 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6299999997 | $400.00 |
| 08-01 17:13 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6099999991 | $180.00 |
| 08-01 17:13 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.609999999 | $220.00 |
| 07-31 17:40 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.6199999988 | $180.00 |
| 07-30 16:42 | Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.5399999992 | $180.00 |
| 07-30 01:17 | Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.5599999994 | $180.00 |
| 07-29 17:46 | Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5899999951 | $35.00 |
| 07-29 14:55 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $78.00 |
| 07-29 14:55 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.6099999991 | $112.00 |
| 07-29 00:52 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4899999966 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 00:46 | Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.25 | $80.00 |