sds34444
0x088fd8d0bf02563f7c4d606fdb1c5c6525ca9c20
- Realised P&L
- $-568.73
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $43.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 1.000 | $40.00 | +$9.20 |
| Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.945 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.942 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66? · Yes | 0.993 | 1.000 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.085 | $0.13 | −$0.87 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Diamondbacks vs. Angels · Diamondbacks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$563.50at 0.510Penguins vs. Canadiens
- +$6.63at 0.430Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
- +$1.94at 0.720Guardians vs. White Sox
- +$1.70at 0.370Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
- +$1.13at 0.470Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-16 05:31 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 02-16 05:30 | Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.00 |
| 02-16 05:30 | US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 16:49 | Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 16:48 | Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 13:56 | Will Donald Trump issue 0 executive order in the week of October 10? | BUY | 0.9839991577 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 14:48 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31? | BUY | 0.9759999922 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 14:47 | Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? | BUY | 0.883999947 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 23:56 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 23:55 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 23:55 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 21:04 | Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 20:09 | Diamondbacks vs. Angels | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 19:34 | Guardians vs. White Sox | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 12-12 16:00 | Penguins vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.51 | $586.50 |