PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

sds34444

0x088fd8d0bf02563f7c4d606fdb1c5c6525ca9c20

Realised P&L
$-568.73
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$43.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7701.000$40.00+$9.20
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9200.945$1.03+$0.03
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9300.942$1.01+$0.01
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66? · Yes0.9931.000$1.01+$0.01
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6700.085$0.13$0.87
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Diamondbacks vs. Angels · Diamondbacks0.5000.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-16 05:31Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
02-16 05:30Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?BUY0.993$1.00
02-16 05:30US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
10-27 16:49Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?BUY0.92$1.00
10-27 16:48Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
10-15 13:56Will Donald Trump issue 0 executive order in the week of October 10?BUY0.9839991577$1.00
10-09 14:48Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?BUY0.9759999922$1.00
10-09 14:47Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?BUY0.883999947$1.00
09-18 23:56Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
09-18 23:55Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?BUY0.4699998778$1.00
09-18 23:55Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?BUY0.579999826$1.00
07-17 21:04Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?BUY0.4299999871$5.00
07-11 20:09Diamondbacks vs. AngelsBUY0.5$3.00
07-11 19:34Guardians vs. White SoxBUY0.7199999654$5.00
12-12 16:00Penguins vs. CanadiensBUY0.51$586.50