0x0862476B304fFe7efa8B0742cf4D78A77d80eE31-1772454005939
0x0862476b304ffe7efa8b0742cf4d78a77d80ee31
- Realised P&L
- $25.08
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $71.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.475 | $29.69 | +$9.69 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 10? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.305 | $11.30 | +$1.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 10? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.125 | $10.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 10? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.175 | $10.29 | +$1.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 10? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.255 | $9.11 | −$0.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $0.40 | −$4.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$5.85 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.18at 0.202Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?
- +$3.95at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 9?
- +$1.98at 0.910Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?
- +$0.12at 0.990Will the price of Solana be above $70 on March 3?
- +$0.04at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 02:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.15 | $8.82 |
| 08-09 02:45 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 02:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.1194029851 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 02:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 08-09 02:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.53 | $13.94 |
| 08-09 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.8126294498 | $40.18 |
| 08-08 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.006234414 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.02 | $6.00 |
| 08-08 13:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 12:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.2022302971 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 01:19 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0118997787 | $11.02 |
| 03-08 03:27 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.024 | $22.23 |
| 03-06 12:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 6? | SELL | 0.988 | $22.23 |