tubbo
0x0860bcfbf92fa56a092b5ac20a61bd2f584ea236
- Realised P&L
- $-225.54
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $50.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.96at 0.610Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
- +$56.25at 0.640Jets vs. Dolphins
- +$53.03at 0.612Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$40.39at 0.790No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
- +$39.29at 0.560US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 05:59 | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.7399999966 | $25.82 |
| 07-28 05:58 | Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 05:57 | Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.0470858199 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:55 | Will James Fishback win 25–30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.0417292776 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:54 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 20:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3939999971 | $30.00 |
| 05-19 20:59 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.3899999975 | $93.61 |
| 05-19 20:58 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | SELL | 0.08 | $89.67 |
| 04-08 13:41 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.3600741841 | $100.00 |
| 03-03 11:29 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.5599999969 | $50.00 |
| 03-03 09:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BUY | 0.014 | $3.50 |
| 02-08 21:45 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.329999995 | $40.00 |
| 01-21 23:45 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $35.90 |
| 01-10 07:19 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.72 | $78.26 |
| 01-07 23:37 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999979 | $84.62 |