PolyBot

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Traders

tubbo

0x0860bcfbf92fa56a092b5ac20a61bd2f584ea236

Realised P&L
$-225.54
Volume
$9.7k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$50.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · No0.7400.815$28.43+$2.61
Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · Yes0.3900.490$12.56+$2.56
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3700.155$4.19$5.81
Will James Fishback win 25–30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · Yes0.0420.026$3.12$1.88
Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · Yes0.0470.013$1.38$3.62
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$25.00
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00$50.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3940.000$0.00$30.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? · Up0.0140.000$0.00$3.50
Knicks vs. Heat · Knicks0.5900.000$0.00$100.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No0.3600.000$0.00$100.00
Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots0.3300.000$0.00$40.00
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$93.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 05:59Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?BUY0.7399999966$25.82
07-28 05:58Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?BUY0.389999986$10.00
07-28 05:57Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?BUY0.0470858199$5.00
07-28 05:55Will James Fishback win 25–30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?BUY0.0417292776$5.00
07-28 05:54Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
07-19 20:01Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3939999971$30.00
05-19 20:59Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.3899999975$93.61
05-19 20:58Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?SELL0.08$89.67
04-08 13:41Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.3600741841$100.00
03-03 11:29US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.5599999969$50.00
03-03 09:40S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?BUY0.014$3.50
02-08 21:45Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.329999995$40.00
01-21 23:45Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.14$35.90
01-10 07:19Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.72$78.26
01-07 23:37Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.3299999979$84.62