8is96oppl8ke
0x0847cf9af64be7f5c1189cf0e8833336e97d73b7
- Realised P&L
- $-8.54
- Volume
- $741.32
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $137.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.967 | $50.89 | +$0.89 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.595 | $27.61 | +$0.70 |
| Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.971 | 0.985 | $16.14 | +$0.22 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? · No | 0.920 | 0.905 | $13.99 | −$0.23 |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.971 | $11.70 | −$0.11 |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.982 | $6.88 | +$0.01 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $6.00 | +$0.03 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No | 0.960 | 0.955 | $2.38 | −$0.01 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $2.30 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.21at 0.780UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)
- +$0.10at 0.499Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Trump out as President before GTA VI?
- +$-0.05at 0.999Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.05at 0.995Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 23:19 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399997892 | $1.07 |
| 08-01 19:54 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.87 |
| 08-01 18:59 | UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.6 | $2.18 |
| 08-01 12:06 | UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.739999989 | $2.70 |
| 08-01 10:19 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399998635 | $1.24 |
| 08-01 07:41 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.58 | $26.91 |
| 08-01 06:47 | UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $4.28 |
| 08-01 06:39 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.89 |
| 08-01 06:39 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5399999538 | $1.17 |
| 08-01 06:39 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.18 |
| 08-01 06:39 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5199999592 | $1.53 |
| 08-01 06:38 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $11.81 |
| 08-01 06:25 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | BUY | 0.9599997108 | $2.39 |
| 08-01 06:16 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.44 |
| 07-29 15:47 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.09 |