altairco
0x07463bf019661071416f6e773c966349e17bf0a9
- Realised P&L
- $-174.81
- Volume
- $66.8k
- Markets traded
- 226
- Open portfolio
- $20.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded226
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.05at 0.256US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$6.93at 0.134Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$6.35at 0.043Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$5.93at 0.242Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$4.91at 0.110Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 15:18 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.26 |
| 06-02 15:17 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $14.00 |
| 06-02 15:16 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $13.30 |
| 06-02 15:16 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $16.10 |
| 04-08 15:36 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.23 |
| 04-08 15:35 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 04-08 15:35 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.242 | $2.66 |
| 02-15 13:43 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.38 |
| 02-15 13:43 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.034 | $1.02 |
| 02-15 13:42 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 02-15 13:34 | Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 13:33 | Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0379999641 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 13:32 | Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0359999663 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 13:29 | Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 13:28 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.0227226872 | $2.01 |