desolder
0x052031955986aaeb3edb394b9b9366cccac66df1
- Realised P&L
- $-2.37
- Volume
- $292.50
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $3.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.295 | $2.89 | +$0.44 |
| Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? · No | 0.430 | 0.011 | $0.05 | −$1.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.25at 0.270Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?
- +$3.05at 0.279Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.347Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$1.94at 0.450Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$1.45at 0.580DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:50 | Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.45 |
| 07-30 16:50 | Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? | BUY | 0.4299998914 | $1.98 |
| 06-27 09:05 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.5599998535 | $1.07 |
| 05-23 16:23 | Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | BUY | 0.3429998696 | $1.47 |
| 05-15 13:13 | Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.2299999396 | $2.40 |
| 05-11 16:54 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.23 |
| 05-03 09:39 | Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.2791010384 | $1.18 |
| 04-12 14:14 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BUY | 0.2299999393 | $2.84 |
| 04-10 12:06 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | BUY | 0.7899995341 | $1.17 |
| 04-05 10:58 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.3499999016 | $1.60 |
| 03-21 11:58 | Golden Knights vs. Predators | BUY | 0.5599999751 | $2.70 |
| 03-19 14:19 | Clippers vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.4799999061 | $1.84 |
| 03-17 13:22 | Will Kanye tweet again by March 31? | BUY | 0.6799998906 | $1.74 |
| 03-12 12:31 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | BUY | 0.7659995066 | $1.45 |
| 03-11 08:23 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999796 | $2.82 |