MelonMusk69
0x04d5de32ec01c89038b286f69d510b0bad52188f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $49.8k
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$239.27at 0.547Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
- +$114.44at 0.685Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
- +$90.00at 0.700Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?
- +$85.30at 0.344Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
- +$67.25at 0.870Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 14:06 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.7799999633 | $1.70 |
| 07-09 12:44 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.54 |
| 07-09 12:42 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.7799999633 | $1.70 |
| 07-09 12:24 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.54 |
| 07-09 12:23 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.7799999633 | $1.70 |
| 07-02 15:02 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.8299999805 | $1.70 |
| 07-02 15:00 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.40 |
| 06-24 16:26 | Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 06-24 16:25 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 06-24 16:07 | Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 06-24 12:44 | Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.7606665591 | $7.64 |
| 06-24 11:44 | Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? | BUY | 0.294 | $2.94 |
| 06-24 11:37 | Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? | BUY | 0.304 | $3.04 |
| 06-24 11:20 | Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 06-24 06:24 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |