poGubamVadimich
0x041c31ef5d587f73ebf12114fe48cb69691f0a03
- Realised P&L
- $-54.06
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 254
- Open portfolio
- $17.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded254
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.90at 0.068Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 31?
- +$39.65at 0.008Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on July 31?
- +$27.93at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?
- +$25.89at 0.117Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30?
- +$25.80at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 08-04 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.60 |
| 08-04 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 08-04 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.10 |
| 08-04 13:05 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.08 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.041 | $1.03 |
| 08-04 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.032 | $0.16 |
| 08-03 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.47 |
| 08-02 19:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.50 |
| 08-02 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.40 |
| 08-02 19:19 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.30 |
| 08-02 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 08-01 21:41 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.54 |