PamelaFlores401
0x03e2bcc696c7275a180d9728ef99b087f53b4418
- Realised P&L
- $-15.20
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 347
- Open portfolio
- $95.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded347
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rachel Hurley be the TN-05 Democratic nominee? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $34.48 | −$0.02 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $27.11 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $23.39 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $10.92 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.16at 0.997Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$0.10at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$0.09at 0.998Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?
- +$0.05at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 9?
- +$0.05at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on April 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 6? | BUY | 0.9989999944 | $10.93 |
| 08-05 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.40 |
| 08-05 16:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.10 |
| 08-05 11:44 | Will Rachel Hurley be the TN-05 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.9989999865 | $34.50 |
| 07-31 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $16.58 |
| 07-31 01:54 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.60 |
| 07-30 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.9979999589 | $16.30 |
| 07-30 17:21 | Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week? | BUY | 0.9989999716 | $34.00 |
| 07-30 14:51 | Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.30 |
| 07-30 14:12 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.50 |
| 07-30 14:10 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.09 |
| 07-30 14:09 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $34.26 |
| 07-30 12:41 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.30 |
| 07-30 11:06 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.10 |
| 07-30 08:23 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999533 | $10.50 |