0x038c5A28e84D80A290A53Ef8EE5f3a0596f6b4E0-1785165560931
0x038c5a28e84d80a290a53ef8ee5f3a0596f6b4e0
- Realised P&L
- $-54.96
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $23.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.808 | 0.858 | $6.70 | +$0.39 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.796 | 0.320 | $6.68 | −$9.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.125 | $5.98 | −$7.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.07at 0.364Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
- +$57.39at 0.250Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton
- +$44.53at 0.335Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$37.37at 0.340LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
- +$27.15at 0.582Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.904 | $4.52 |
| 08-08 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.8135229885 | $14.16 |
| 08-08 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-08 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.444 | $5.62 |
| 08-08 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.089 | $1.58 |
| 08-08 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.73 |
| 08-08 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.138 | $0.69 |
| 08-08 03:29 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1286031746 | $1.62 |
| 08-08 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.28 | $11.66 |
| 08-08 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1088582996 | $2.96 |
| 08-08 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.80 |
| 08-07 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.21 |
| 08-07 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.59 |
| 08-07 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.83 | $2.66 |
| 08-07 17:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.64 |