0x033AC9f02E37C679be5b4537e9F0F45788707188-1762505860497
0x033ac9f02e37c679be5b4537e9f0f45788707188
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $302.7k
- Markets traded
- 7,062
- Open portfolio
- $85.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,062
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes | 0.483 | 0.810 | $56.50 | +$22.82 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.516 | $11.15 | −$6.13 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 20, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.920 | $6.87 | +$0.30 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.966 | $4.31 | +$0.34 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 6, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.935 | $2.01 | +$0.12 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026? · No | 0.867 | 0.935 | $1.97 | +$0.14 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.930 | $1.47 | +$0.11 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 4, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.555 | $0.84 | −$0.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$316.27at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
- +$296.17at 0.319Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8PM ET
- +$287.28at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
- +$198.68at 0.357Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET
- +$196.21at 0.357Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 13:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | SELL | 0.871 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 12:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.9239996847 | $2.18 |
| 08-01 12:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.924 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 12:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | SELL | 0.939 | $3.59 |
| 08-01 11:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.9399997807 | $3.60 |
| 07-31 22:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $9.28 |
| 07-31 21:20 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | SELL | 0.71 | $13.00 |
| 07-31 15:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.1299999797 | $4.80 |
| 07-30 20:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.80 |
| 07-30 13:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.4499999853 | $15.26 |
| 07-30 12:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.4499999598 | $2.24 |
| 07-30 00:26 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $6.42 |
| 07-29 23:43 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 07-29 23:14 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.1699999578 | $2.70 |
| 07-29 21:52 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.038 | $0.12 |