lucky17
0x02e08a2f16ccd6af0c95739f54a1f09a63cf5ebd
- Realised P&L
- $-781.58
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $110.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.908 | 0.902 | $101.38 | −$0.62 |
| Will Solana reach $140 in August? · No | 0.996 | 0.994 | $8.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.95at 0.186Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
- +$5.28at 0.954LayerZero airdrop by June 15?
- +$2.76at 0.592Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$1.79at 0.984Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.50at 0.400Suns vs. Hawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:39 | Will Solana reach $140 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.00 |
| 08-04 10:38 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9079999964 | $102.00 |
| 07-10 23:34 | Will Solana reach $160 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $112.00 |
| 07-04 12:47 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $112.00 |
| 06-19 00:44 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9839999999 | $110.00 |
| 05-13 12:25 | Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.6k |
| 05-11 13:09 | Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.6k |
| 05-11 13:09 | Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.6k |
| 05-10 07:17 | Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.6k |
| 05-10 07:16 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.6k |
| 05-09 11:12 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.6k |
| 05-09 10:37 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $109.77 |
| 04-21 07:19 | Will Solana reach $160 in April? | BUY | 0.9949999931 | $109.34 |
| 04-21 07:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | SELL | 0.998 | $109.43 |
| 04-17 05:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $109.42 |