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Traders

wolvenfoxlikebear

0x02b8cadb743843a7ae4e336c0a467e73f2793deb

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$293.9k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$6.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1000.074$6.1k$2.1k
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.7050.725$277.21+$7.67
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1370.072$240.83$217.77
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.645$193.50$1.50
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? · No0.8000.955$95.50+$15.50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0670.049$13.23$4.77
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0340.002$6.81$148.61
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0360.005$4.83$27.26
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? · Yes0.0610.099$3.96+$1.52
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.1250.008$2.40$35.10
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0360.004$1.05$9.75
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0750.015$1.04$3.97
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0610.004$0.16$2.28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027? · No0.5000.000$0.00$50.00
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.2550.000$0.00$143.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:37Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.069$75.90
07-28 09:39Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.09$63.00
07-13 15:43Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.089$10.23
07-10 08:56Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.6216506577$55.00
07-10 08:53Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?SELL0.955$28.65
07-01 05:37Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?BUY0.8$24.00
06-25 21:58Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.84$168.00
06-25 21:57Iran nuclear test before 2027?SELL0.93$92.99
06-25 21:56Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.88$114.66
06-21 14:00Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.155$6.97
06-20 09:04Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.155$71.71
06-17 17:38Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? SELL0.835$83.50
06-17 04:51Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? BUY0.26$26.00
06-16 17:19US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.007$7.00
06-14 23:24Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.3879470776$53.37
Trader wolvenfoxlikebear · PolyBot