Qwerty1029
0x02a65fb3c91b17e829acca04eb16b40e400c0f67
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $126.3k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $327.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)17.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.229Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$770.32at 0.258US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$434.85at 0.390Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
- +$295.79at 0.370US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$197.96at 0.090US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 07:55 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.0251154096 | $44.10 |
| 08-02 07:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.0103738473 | $2.50 |
| 08-01 18:58 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 17:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 17:25 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0579999989 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 17:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.0362744838 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 17:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999985 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 17:24 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $70.00 |
| 08-01 17:24 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0427125386 | $150.00 |
| 08-01 17:22 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999991 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 17:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.2699999937 | $30.00 |
| 06-10 20:07 | Will Iran Play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 20:07 | Will Iran Play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $15.00 |
| 05-04 21:32 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 05-04 21:28 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |