Maruly
0x02946ff4bf137e0bd3fe9e90c46324343e0bedb0
- Realised P&L
- $-197.35
- Volume
- $27.0k
- Markets traded
- 222
- Open portfolio
- $168.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded222
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.442Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$652.07at 0.580Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$163.64at 0.550Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$96.80at 0.814Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$77.00at 0.500Mariners vs. Rays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 19:53 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.1774999988 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 19:27 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2924999602 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 19:27 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.2124999734 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 16:16 | Iasi Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Petra Marcinko | BUY | 0.5299999505 | $3.00 |
| 07-13 10:46 | Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo | BUY | 0.5829999868 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 17:26 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 20:52 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0925 | $1.97 |
| 07-10 19:45 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 18:53 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2474998162 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 18:52 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5924999804 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 05:50 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7299999942 | $15.00 |
| 06-30 07:20 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 07:20 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 07:20 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7699999935 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 07:19 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7699999935 | $20.00 |