0x0240e6055dd69677319734d0e17745009a6698b1
- Realised P&L
- $3.9k
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $9.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar21.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals · Minnesota Twins | 0.470 | 0.475 | $9.69 | +$0.10 |
| Senators vs. Blues · Senators | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$370.00 |
| Flames vs. Panthers · Panthers | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$384.00 |
| Pistons vs. Celtics · Pistons | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.20 |
| Blues vs. Devils · Blues | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings · Kings | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$294.40 |
| Lightning vs. Canadiens · Lightning | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.45 |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Spurs | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$274.70 |
| Rockets vs. Warriors · Warriors | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$216.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on January 10? · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.50 |
| Raptors vs. Knicks · Raptors | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$281.20 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks · Bucks | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$148.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.480Ducks vs. Blackhawks
- +$1.2kat 0.460Flyers vs. Islanders
- +$1.1kat 0.410Bruins vs. Islanders
- +$455.00at 0.500Hawks vs. 76ers
- +$289.80at 0.540Rangers vs. Bruins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 03:13 | Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.59 | $10.62 |
| 04-23 06:37 | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.52 | $10.30 |
| 01-09 03:21 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.50 |
| 12-24 03:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 27? | BUY | 0.6 | $11.40 |
| 11-30 13:53 | Suns vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.31 | $21.08 |
| 11-29 16:27 | Ducks vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.48 | $2.1k |
| 11-29 15:30 | Grizzlies vs. Kings | BUY | 0.46 | $294.40 |
| 11-29 14:47 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.41 | $274.70 |
| 11-29 14:02 | Raptors vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.37 | $281.20 |
| 11-27 14:50 | Flyers vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.46 | $1.1k |
| 11-26 12:17 | Bucks vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.27 | $148.50 |
| 11-25 15:28 | Rockets vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.48 | $216.00 |