Alpha-Br
0x019c7701c13c35685734f07855cd6fbe61fefc9a
- Realised P&L
- $-615.42
- Volume
- $137.0k
- Markets traded
- 498
- Open portfolio
- $103.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded498
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.31at 0.580Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
- +$63.64at 0.440Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$51.98at 0.812Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1PM ET
- +$45.81at 0.033Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?
- +$40.56at 0.598Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:34 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5979999889 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 16:27 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4699999929 | $20.00 |
| 07-01 16:46 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $50.00 |
| 06-18 23:25 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-06 23:33 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.213 | $15.97 |
| 05-02 10:50 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL | 0.88 | $379.31 |
| 03-30 22:09 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.5799999991 | $250.00 |
| 03-01 00:53 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0310000001 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 23:45 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0539999949 | $10.00 |
| 02-01 15:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $3.81 |
| 02-01 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $2.64 |
| 02-01 14:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $1.24 |
| 02-01 14:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $3.90 |
| 02-01 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $3.84 |
| 02-01 14:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $3.81 |