TorlaeAgeDefying
0x0174534317fdaadb6a5dea224001160b09e92150
- Realised P&L
- $114.89
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 226
- Open portfolio
- $122.56
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded226
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.66at 0.029Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$24.83at 0.588Will the announcers say "Temperature" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$20.52at 0.642Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
- +$20.08at 0.588Will Trump praise Susan Dell by June 30?
- +$19.28at 0.190Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:05 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.3692603677 | $63.66 |
| 08-02 17:37 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 17:07 | Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 06:07 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August? | BUY | 0.24 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 05:37 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 05:07 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August? | BUY | 0.44 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 04:07 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in August? | BUY | 0.35 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 01:37 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 01:07 | Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 00:07 | Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 00:07 | Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next? | BUY | 0.058 | $4.60 |
| 08-01 18:07 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 17:07 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.029 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 05:07 | Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.046 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 04:37 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.00 |