hgcvcv
0x00dcc064f44f8c686bcbd7988de2cd3e0129d521
- Realised P&L
- $994.45
- Volume
- $107.1k
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · Yes | 0.633 | 0.775 | $929.97 | +$170.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.335 | $187.60 | −$154.00 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.895 | $154.03 | +$31.84 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET · Down | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$249.22 |
| Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m? · Yes | 0.836 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.425 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$514.27at 0.134Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
- +$426.40at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
- +$353.84at 0.577Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$323.39at 0.070Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
- +$218.51at 0.179Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:52 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $341.60 |
| 08-02 15:14 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $122.19 |
| 08-01 19:16 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.1533275272 | $10.30 |
| 08-01 19:15 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.154330855 | $41.51 |
| 08-01 19:15 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.162 | $11.02 |
| 08-01 19:14 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.1638308362 | $33.90 |
| 07-31 20:52 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.1495787481 | $31.21 |
| 07-31 20:52 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.149123127 | $60.01 |
| 07-31 20:25 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026? | BUY | 0.4543084475 | $74.97 |
| 07-28 20:05 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $30.27 |
| 07-28 18:33 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0857578692 | $7.08 |
| 07-28 18:18 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0866665555 | $2.60 |
| 07-28 18:15 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0878307666 | $5.19 |
| 07-28 18:14 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0883964912 | $10.08 |
| 07-28 18:13 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0883382501 | $66.84 |