0x007bb8d5dd144237271c75f59977e9cc46350099
- Realised P&L
- $-2.32
- Volume
- $28.71
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $6.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.725 | $2.79 | +$1.79 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.999 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No | 0.590 | 0.635 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.625 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.114 | $0.38 | −$0.62 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.100 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No | 0.390 | 0.002 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
- +$-0.02at 0.510Another pandemic before GTA VI?
- +$-0.02at 0.510Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
- +$-1.00at 0.251S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on August 3?
- +$-1.00at 0.490Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:13 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:12 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:11 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:10 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on August 3? | BUY | 0.2509998589 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 08:09 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:38 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:14 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 13:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 01:22 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 17:19 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 23:16 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |