ShadowXYZ
0x003d1b8a8b06c7e3c5f9600f30306d7d47e18fc0
- Realised P&L
- $86.10
- Volume
- $25.5k
- Markets traded
- 279
- Open portfolio
- $22.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded279
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama BayStars vs. Hiroshima Carp · Yokohama BayStars | 0.680 | 0.996 | $13.94 | +$4.42 |
| Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Team to Advance · Rangers FC | 0.330 | 0.440 | $8.36 | +$2.09 |
| Yokohama BayStars vs. Hiroshima Carp · Hiroshima Carp | 0.230 | 0.004 | $0.06 | −$3.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$260.09at 0.103Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
- +$115.16at 0.147Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$97.34at 0.168New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
- +$86.01at 0.104Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
- +$81.85at 0.375Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:15 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 21:15 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | SELL | 0.997 | $40.88 |
| 07-28 22:23 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds | SELL | 0.999 | $3.84 |