32131232131113123
0x000b4d9c94c354ece8e34b413db2a32ae3c31312
- Realised P&L
- $-267.30
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $239.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.879 | 0.915 | $68.63 | +$2.67 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay · No | 0.810 | 0.905 | $55.20 | +$5.79 |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) · Islam Makhachev | 0.730 | 0.735 | $49.65 | +$0.34 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.916 | 0.946 | $26.60 | +$0.82 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No | 0.604 | 0.885 | $22.13 | +$7.03 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.100 | $6.58 | −$18.42 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.095 | $5.40 | −$19.60 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.165 | $4.13 | −$7.62 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.065 | $1.63 | −$5.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.61at 0.870Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
- +$12.00at 0.880Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$7.50at 0.850Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
- +$7.08at 0.764Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$6.50at 0.935Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 21:29 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.16 |
| 07-01 19:18 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 04-08 04:22 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $12.60 |
| 02-28 19:35 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.066 | $0.40 |
| 01-12 06:42 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 11-13 05:00 | UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7199999981 | $15.09 |
| 11-11 23:31 | UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |