PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

R12234

0xffddfe2066a1a49800ed683037fbcd87b426c06f

Realised P&L
$725.55
Volume
$130.1k
Markets traded
223
Open portfolio
$199.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded223
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4790.500$55.10+$2.28
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No0.4900.500$54.49+$1.09
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31? · No0.8500.620$31.00$11.50
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.4900.560$22.39+$2.80
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.021$20.50$1.58
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6700.085$12.75$87.75
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.945$3.14+$0.58
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 · No0.6500.000$0.00$390.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$43.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? · No0.5120.000$0.00$256.00
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30? · No0.0900.000$0.00$9.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? · Yes0.4390.000$0.00$265.70
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? · No0.5900.000$0.00$100.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-13 14:26US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14BUY0.65$390.00
06-12 03:15Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?BUY0.59$20.39
06-11 02:22Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?SELL0.995$99.50
06-07 18:33Iran closes its airspace by June 8?BUY0.4$100.00
06-07 17:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?BUY0.54$2.70
06-02 09:56Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?BUY0.58$58.00
05-31 19:37Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?SELL0.82$336.20
05-30 20:43Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.48$52.80
05-30 20:43Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4873549692$53.01
05-30 17:48US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?BUY0.09$0.45
05-30 11:40Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0089999999$100.00
05-30 11:26US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?BUY0.6$60.00
05-28 17:03US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL0.6$210.53
05-28 14:21US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?SELL0.3608$36.08
05-27 19:05US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?BUY0.43$43.00