sxusks
0xffd8d322bbb625cf79c0c02172191574d6116d54
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $190.6k
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $327.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.935 | $308.24 | +$8.24 |
| Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? · No | 0.140 | 0.360 | $16.92 | +$10.34 |
| Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.018 | $2.37 | −$10.82 |
| Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.14 |
| Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30? · Yes | 0.321 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.093Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on April 11?
- +$983.20at 0.098Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$442.09at 0.102Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$307.04at 0.104U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
- +$243.71at 0.168Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or below on April 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 08:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9099999985 | $300.00 |
| 05-26 14:47 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | SELL | 0.2644431646 | $8.72 |
| 05-14 02:07 | Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026? | SELL | 0.100673411 | $52.44 |
| 04-25 16:00 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.20125 | $40.25 |
| 04-25 15:59 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $104.00 |
| 04-25 07:33 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $130.00 |
| 04-23 15:59 | Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1446724605 | $30.96 |
| 04-23 02:28 | Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? | SELL | 0.5 | $17.23 |
| 04-21 20:21 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $90.00 |
| 04-21 11:24 | U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? | SELL | 0.1767772695 | $20.10 |
| 04-20 17:47 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.46 |
| 04-19 19:32 | U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? | SELL | 0.59125 | $354.75 |
| 04-19 18:55 | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | SELL | 0.10035 | $100.35 |
| 04-19 13:01 | Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.235546 | $23.55 |
| 04-19 12:12 | Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |