collzero
0xff4148a0f7b6511b9bf7e49d650dbcd011baff1a
- Realised P&L
- $681.93
- Volume
- $78.8k
- Markets traded
- 245
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded245
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.40at 0.924Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on June 1?
- +$71.94at 0.140MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$48.00at 0.280US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$42.50at 0.150Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 9?
- +$41.60at 0.896Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:25 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 08-02 11:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.97 | $15.52 |
| 07-21 14:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.90 |
| 07-12 10:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | SELL | 0.78 | $54.60 |
| 07-06 22:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? | SELL | 0.192 | $19.20 |
| 07-06 12:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.24 |
| 07-06 12:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.26 |
| 07-06 11:54 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 07-02 22:55 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $96.20 |
| 06-25 07:16 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | SELL | 0.43 | $43.00 |
| 06-18 09:52 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.102 | $1.02 |
| 06-14 13:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 06-13 12:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 13? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 06-13 12:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.09 |
| 06-11 09:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? | BUY | 0.0875 | $7.00 |