0xff0cE19de43C2DCd7b70CA891521e20De62681a1-1775260080394
0xff0ce19de43c2dcd7b70ca891521e20de62681a1
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $760.7k
- Markets traded
- 3,462
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,462
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $390.47 | +$0.59 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $312.53 | +$0.46 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $312.22 | +$0.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 2? · Yes | 0.964 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$507.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 19? · Yes | 0.983 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$424.29 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4? · Yes | 0.984 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$196.73 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 26? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$138.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20? · No | 0.997 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$255.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 21? · Yes | 0.976 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$157.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.37at 0.950Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 25?
- +$28.82at 0.955Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 1?
- +$24.91at 0.960Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 10?
- +$24.02at 0.973Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 2?
- +$23.17at 0.962Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 08-04 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $389.89 |
| 08-04 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $209.91 |
| 08-04 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $150.05 |
| 08-04 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-04 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $65.62 |
| 08-04 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.997 | $42.87 |
| 08-04 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.08 |
| 08-04 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $66.39 |
| 08-04 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $63.88 |
| 08-03 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $388.16 |
| 08-03 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.997 | $14.96 |
| 08-03 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.92 |
| 08-03 15:21 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.39 |
| 08-03 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $187.14 |