PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xfED5D6ea3bEB9af6D48fC65D475aC1373c993f49-1784572303898

0xfed5d6ea3beb9af6d48fc65d475ac1373c993f49

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$97.1k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$16.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.8540.998$10.5k+$1.5k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.9381.000$6.1k+$379.94
The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubic · Viktorija Golubic0.8200.000$0.00$1000.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Down0.7000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Up0.9120.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Down0.6520.000$0.00$268.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$125.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 11:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.9699999981$5.00
08-02 11:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.86$5.00
08-02 00:11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.9955427185$798.19
08-01 23:58Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.9965013418$1.1k
08-01 01:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
08-01 01:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
08-01 01:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
08-01 01:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
08-01 01:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
08-01 01:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
08-01 01:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.8535132978$100.00
08-01 01:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.8499999998$200.00
08-01 01:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.8499999996$100.00
08-01 01:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.8499999996$100.00
08-01 01:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.995$1.1k