0xfED5D6ea3bEB9af6D48fC65D475aC1373c993f49-1784572303898
0xfed5d6ea3beb9af6d48fc65d475ac1373c993f49
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $97.1k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $16.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.854 | 0.998 | $10.5k | +$1.5k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes | 0.938 | 1.000 | $6.1k | +$379.94 |
| The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubic · Viktorija Golubic | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Down | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Up | 0.912 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Down | 0.652 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$268.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$913.30at 0.869Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
- +$500.00at 0.960Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
- +$155.28at 0.720Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
- +$113.44at 0.768Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$79.42at 0.722Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 11:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 00:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.9955427185 | $798.19 |
| 08-01 23:58 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.9965013418 | $1.1k |
| 08-01 01:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 01:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 01:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 01:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 01:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 01:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 01:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8535132978 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 01:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 01:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 01:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 01:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.1k |