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0xfE5bDb4E99c637C53a7EEa83ea1e6B72Da6ABabF-1764764006251

0xfe5bdb4e99c637c53a7eea83ea1e6b72da6ababf

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$34.3k
Markets traded
740
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded740
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · No0.6530.880$134.65+$34.65
Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.7490.996$132.87+$32.87
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes0.8420.883$129.09+$6.09
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.7270.935$128.60+$28.60
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7300.905$123.97+$23.97
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · No0.7840.945$120.55+$20.55
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? · Yes0.8901.000$112.30+$12.30
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? · Yes0.9100.995$109.34+$9.34
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? · No0.8370.900$108.67+$7.67
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · No0.9300.986$106.02+$6.02
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? · No0.8770.925$105.43+$5.43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.3810.430$63.67+$7.27
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes0.8560.434$50.76$49.24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.1260.069$2.35$1.95
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No0.6270.000$0.00$45.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 10:06Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.85$23.00
08-01 09:24Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?BUY0.8559726447$100.00
08-01 09:19Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?BUY0.91$100.00
08-01 09:18Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?BUY0.7492507492$100.00
08-01 09:17Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?BUY0.8899999946$100.00
08-01 09:02Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?SELL0.999$220.94
08-01 01:44Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.839999999$100.00
07-31 21:04Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.7733491952$50.00
07-31 21:04Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.6420387159$50.00
07-31 21:00Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.6654401673$50.00
07-31 21:00Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.8057868669$35.00
07-31 20:58Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?BUY0.8773678955$100.00
07-31 20:58Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8299999976$35.00
07-31 20:57Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?SELL0.999$456.71
07-30 17:58Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8399999939$11.00