0xfE5bDb4E99c637C53a7EEa83ea1e6B72Da6ABabF-1764764006251
0xfe5bdb4e99c637c53a7eea83ea1e6b72da6ababf
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $34.3k
- Markets traded
- 740
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded740
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$206.01at 0.748Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?
- +$196.05at 0.699Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
- +$120.27at 0.455Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?
- +$118.54at 0.740Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
- +$83.50at 0.753Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 10:06 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.85 | $23.00 |
| 08-01 09:24 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.8559726447 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 09:19 | Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 09:18 | Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.7492507492 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 09:17 | Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | BUY | 0.8899999946 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 09:02 | Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $220.94 |
| 08-01 01:44 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 21:04 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.7733491952 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 21:04 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.6420387159 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 21:00 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.6654401673 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 21:00 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.8057868669 | $35.00 |
| 07-31 20:58 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? | BUY | 0.8773678955 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 20:58 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999976 | $35.00 |
| 07-31 20:57 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $456.71 |
| 07-30 17:58 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999939 | $11.00 |