nsu
0xfe15cdf20fc9516326a3d6cf443d0670ba4af5b8
- Realised P&L
- $-33.99
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 252
- Open portfolio
- $8.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded252
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.946 | 0.944 | $8.26 | −$0.02 |
| Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? · No | 0.893 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.51at 0.946Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
- +$0.40at 0.967St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- +$0.37at 0.890Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda
- +$0.26at 0.974Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$0.17at 0.910Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 09:12 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.923 | $6.49 |
| 07-18 22:41 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.974 | $6.19 |
| 07-16 05:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.959 | $10.13 |
| 07-15 17:40 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9696338355 | $8.37 |
| 07-09 09:39 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.967 | $9.78 |
| 07-07 13:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $10.93 |
| 07-05 12:28 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.961 | $8.74 |
| 07-05 02:26 | Will Elise Mertens be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.984 | $11.26 |
| 07-04 23:27 | Will Elise Mertens be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | SELL | 0.98 | $5.39 |
| 07-04 18:15 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.961 | $6.52 |
| 07-04 16:31 | Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.974 | $11.19 |
| 07-04 07:46 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.961 | $11.00 |
| 07-03 07:50 | Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.975 | $6.26 |
| 07-02 04:59 | Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 07-01 03:45 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.96 | $11.24 |