dynacl
0xfdebcbdf1f2a4feb7718df5cf5d0551d23b10b98
- Realised P&L
- $-26.79
- Volume
- $694.59
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $24.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.480 | $14.40 | −$3.30 |
| Will Justin Liberto win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.176 | $3.53 | −$6.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.140 | $2.51 | −$0.36 |
| Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.080 | $1.28 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $1.10 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 4? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.065 | $0.49 | −$0.11 |
| Will Vincent Keymer Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament · Yes | 0.055 | 0.056 | $0.40 | +$0.01 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 4? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.010 | $0.20 | −$0.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.015 | $0.19 | −$2.47 |
| Will Full Sense Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Pacific Stage 2 · O 3.5 | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.40at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 2?
- +$0.26at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 2?
- +$0.24at 0.440Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$0.20at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4?
- +$0.00at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.00 |
| 08-01 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.96 |